Bernstein reiterates its bullish projection for Strategy (MSTR) amid expectations of recovery in 2026

Bernstein reiterates its bullish projection for Strategy (MSTR) amid expectations of recovery in 2026

Bernstein reaffirms Strategy's stock as a key asset for 2026, projecting that the price of Bitcoin will reach $150.000 amid the expansion of stablecoins and institutional demand.

Research and brokerage firm Bernstein has issued a new investor note reaffirming its confidence in the digital asset sector, placing Strategy (MSTR) at the heart of their investment thesis for 2026. 

According to the analysis led by Gautam ChhuganiThe market has moved beyond the correction and instability that characterized the end of 2025 and is currently in a favorable technical position to begin a sustained recovery. The firm maintains that stocks linked to direct cryptocurrency holdings, led by Michael Saylor's company, present an attractive risk-return profile based on the expectation that the underlying asset is poised to climb to new all-time highs.

The report, quoted by The StreetBernstein explains that Bitcoin has reached a technical bottom after its weak performance in recent months, establishing a solid foundation from which to build a new bull run. He projects that this recovery will be gradual but steady throughout 2026, driven not by retail speculation, but by structural changes in global liquidity and the maturation of the financial infrastructure. 

In this context, the firm believes that Strategy stands out as the preferred vehicle for institutional exposure to Bitcoin, given that its stock market valuation acts as a leveraged indicator of the cryptocurrency's price, allowing investors to capture the digital market's upswings through regulated equity instruments.

Bernstein anticipates a new cycle: buy BTC

Bitcoin will reach $150.000 and impact Strategy

The numerical projections presented by Bernstein offer a clear roadmap for the medium term. Analysts have set a target price for Bitcoin of approximately $150.000 by 2026This figure is crucial to understanding the bullish stance on Strategy, as the company's balance sheet is largely composed of this cryptocurrency. Therefore, such a significant appreciation in the company's reserve asset would have a multiplier effect on its book value and, consequently, on its share price. 

The research firm extends its optimism even further into the future, suggesting that by 2027, the market-leading cryptocurrency could be trading in the region of $200.000, solidifying a multi-year growth trend.

Strategy's shares are currently trading in a range near $158. Although the stock has experienced recent volatility with a monthly decline of over 13%, its year-to-date performance remains positive at 2,58%. 

According to Bernstein analysts, this behavior demonstrates resilience in the face of overall market uncertainty. The company's strategy of using corporate debt and free cash flow to accumulate Bitcoin continues to be seen as a key differentiator that sets it apart from other traditional technology companies, making it a unique entity within the capital markets that offers pure exposure to the Bitcoin network's monetary policy.

Current price of Strategy shares (MSTR).
Source: Investing
Bitcoin at $200K: Buy BTC with confidence

Stablecoins, tokenization, and the rebirth of institutional Bitcoin

Beyond Bitcoin's price action, Bernstein's report identifies fundamental catalysts that will underpin demand for Strategy. 

Analysts indicate that the ecosystem is entering a liquidity expansion cycle driven by the growth of stablecoins. The market supply of these digital assets is estimated to increase by more than 50% in the coming period. This increase in digital liquidity is vital, as stablecoins serve as the primary entry point for capital seeking to invest in Bitcoin and other digital assets. Greater availability of digital dollars facilitates institutional transactions and reduces friction for new market entrants.

Additionally, the report highlights the growing asset tokenization cycle and the increase in volumes in prediction markets as signs of real utility that transcends mere market speculation. 

As blockchain infrastructure is used for more complex financial purposes and large fintech companies integrate these payment rails into their operations, Bitcoin's value proposition as a security base layer is strengthened. This directly benefits Strategy, whose investment thesis depends on the global acceptance and standardization of Bitcoin as a legitimate and liquid store of value. 

According to Bernstein, the combination of these structural factors is creating a favorable macroeconomic environment for the company to maximize the return on its holdings.

Bernstein reinforces his confidence in crypto growth

Bernstein's repeated positive assessment reflects a broader view of Strategy's evolution, which has come to be seen as an essential component of portfolios seeking a balance between diversification, protection against the loss of money, and exposure to technology-driven growth. This perception marks a shift in how institutional players interpret the strategic role of digital-linked stocks.

Along with that review, the firm also highlighted other companies related to the crypto industry and blockchain development, considering that their advancements can strengthen the infrastructure of the digital ecosystem and accelerate the participation of institutional investors. This recognition is not limited to their financial potential, but also points to their role in the structural transformation of the market.

Markets are closely watching Strategy's performance and its relationship to Bitcoin's price movements. Many analysts are assessing whether the high correlation between the two will persist or even intensify as the company reaches new valuation targets. Recent studies indicate that, if liquidity and adoption conditions continue their current trend, Strategy could solidify its position as a leader in the digital asset segment's stock market performance in the coming years.

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