Stablecoins, the new giant of the financial system: Citi forecasts a $3,7 trillion market by 2030

Stablecoins, the new giant of the financial system: Citi forecasts a $3,7 trillion market by 2030

A recent Citigroup report predicts that the stablecoin market could grow tenfold by 2030, with 90% of its value denominated in US dollars.

The world of finance is witnessing a quiet yet powerful revolution with the emergence of stablecoins, a class of cryptocurrencies designed to maintain a stable value, facilitating the integration between the digital ecosystem and traditional finance.

Citigroup, one of the international banking giants, has projected that the stablecoin market will reach a colossal value of up to $2030 trillion by 3,7. This forecast not only highlights the economic magnitude these digital currencies could achieve, but also points to the crucial role of regulation, especially in the United States, and blockchain technology in their consolidation.

In this article, we'll explore the market projections, regulatory impact, technological innovations, and financial transformations that stablecoins are driving into the future.

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Citi's projection for the stablecoin market in 2030

Stablecoins have established themselves as an alternative to traditional cryptocurrencies, which experience high volatility. Their link to stable assets makes them an attractive option for users seeking security and stability in the cryptoasset space. In this context, the report Citigroup highlights the potential of stablecoins to transform the global financial system.

The current market is mostly concentrated in fiat-backed currencies, primarily the dollar, but there is also diversification into stablecoins backed by commodities, other cryptocurrencies, and even US Treasury bonds. Adoption is spreading globally, especially in emerging regions such as Latin America, Africa, and Asia, where stablecoins offer effective solutions for payments, savings, and remittances in economies with high inflation or limited banking systems.

This growth is accompanied by ongoing participation from traditional financial players and fintechs, who see stablecoins as a vehicle for expanding services and capturing new opportunities in a digitalized financial environment.

While Citi's prediction is that 90% of the stablecoin market will be denominated in US dollars by 2030, underscoring the continued dominance of the greenback in international finance, the report also acknowledges that Other currencies, such as the euro, could gain ground in the stablecoin market. as the regulatory landscape evolves. In fact, the implementation of the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) in the European Union since January 1 of this year has marked a milestone in the European financial ecosystem, especially in the area of ​​euro-pegged stablecoins.

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The key role of US regulation

The Citigroup report notes that regulatory clarity in the United States is a crucial factor for the growth of the stablecoin market. The US administration has expressed its desire to promote the growth of the digital asset sector in the country, which could translate into a favorable regulatory framework for stablecoins.

In January, an executive order from the President of the United States, titled Strengthening US Leadership in Digital Financial Technology, established a working group on digital asset markets tasked with developing a federal regulatory framework for the sector. This framework could provide the legal certainty needed for traditional financial institutions to adopt stablecoins on a large scale.

Also, the United States Congress is currently considering two important bills regarding stablecoins: the GENIUS Act and STABLE Law.

On the one hand, the GENIUS Act proposes a supervisory approach for stablecoin issuers based on their market capitalization. Those with a market capitalization below $10.000 billion could opt for state regulation, while those above that threshold would be federally regulated. On the other hand, the STABLE Act makes no distinction between issuers based on their size, but establishes similar requirements regarding reserves, disclosure, and compliance. 

Conversion to Treasury bondholders

Another highlight of the Citigroup report is the possible Conversion of stablecoin issuers into large Treasury bond holders American. To ensure the stability of their currencies, stablecoin issuers must maintain reserves of liquid and safe assets, such as Treasury bonds. If the stablecoin market grows as expected, these issuers could become some of the largest holders of US government debt.

The report estimates that stablecoin issuers could purchase more than $1 trillion in Treasury bonds by 2030. This additional demand for government debt could have a significant impact on financial markets, helping to keep interest rates low and facilitating the financing of government deficits.

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Blockchain and the public sector: transparency and real-time oversight

The Citigroup report also explores the potential of blockchain technology to transform the public sector. Blockchain, the technology underlying cryptocurrencies, offers Transparency, security, and efficiency in data and transaction managementIf public sector blockchain adoption accelerates, real-time auditability could strengthen oversight of stablecoins and cement their legitimacy for institutions, further integrating them into traditional finance.

In this sense, blockchain technology offers a robust and secure platform for managing public records, ensuring the authenticity, integrity, and accessibility of critical data. By leveraging immutable ledgers, blockchain allows records to remain complete, accurate, and tamper-resistant, fostering greater trust in government systems. Furthermore, the use of blockchain also improves transparency, ensuring that funds are distributed fairly with fewer opportunities for corruption and fraud.

But, in addition to improving transparency and efficiency, blockchain technology can also facilitate financial inclusionBlockchain-based digital identity systems can provide secure, tamper-proof verification for citizens, ensuring seamless access to public services and preventing identity theft and fraud.

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In conclusion, stablecoins are poised to play an increasingly important role in the global financial system. Citigroup's recent report offers an optimistic view of the future of these digital assets, highlighting their potential to transform payments, improve efficiency, promote financial inclusion, and build a more secure and sustainable financial future.


Investing in cryptoassets is not fully regulated, may not be suitable for retail investors due to high volatility and there is a risk of losing all invested amounts.