The Fed cuts rates for the third time: here's how Bitcoin and the rest of the cryptocurrencies are reacting

The Fed cuts rates for the third time: here's how Bitcoin and the rest of the cryptocurrencies are reacting

The US Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the third consecutive time, generating volatility in the crypto market. Bitcoin fell to $90.265, but signs of resilience persist.

For the third consecutive meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the US Federal Reserve has decided to reduce interest rates by 25 basis points, placing the target range between 3,50% and 3,75%The decision, widely anticipated by the markets with a probability close to 90%, comes in a context of scarcity of recent economic data, a consequence of the longest government shutdown in the country's history. 

Initially, retail markets celebrated the announcement with moderate gains, but the euphoria gave way to sharp corrections, especially in the crypto ecosystem, where the FOMO feeling It once again worked against many investors.

The recent rate cut aligns with the Fed's strategy of adjusting its monetary policy based on emerging risks, particularly those related to employment and inflation. However, Chairman Jerome Powell's speech made it clear that there is no risk-free path. The "data-driven" stance reinforces the idea that there is no predetermined trajectory, adding uncertainty to financial and digital markets.

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Bitcoin corrects, but its growth potential remains strong

The crypto market's reaction to the Fed's announcements was immediate. Bitcoin, which had surpassed $94.000 in the early hours of the day, It fell back to $90.265At the time of writing, following the announcement of the rate cut, the decline was amplified by the lack of recent macroeconomic data, which made it difficult for investors to assess the situation. 

Meanwhile, other cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum and Solana also registered declines, reflecting a generalized bearish trend in the crypto market.

Bitcoin (BTC) price after the Fed's third consecutive rate cut.
Source: CoinGecko

However, despite the decline in BTC's price, the leading cryptocurrency maintains elements that reinforce its long-term bullish thesis. The entry of institutional players such as Vanguard and the support of entities such as JPMorganThose who believe the correction is not due to structural factors provide a solid foundation for future recovery. Furthermore, the Fed's resumption of Treasury bond purchases, following the end of its quantitative easing program, has altered liquidity dynamics in the markets, which could favor alternative assets such as cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin's behavior in response to Fed actions reflects its sensitivity to changes in monetary policy, but also its adaptability. Volatility is inherent to the cryptocurrency and the market, but its resilience remains a key factor for investors looking beyond the short term.

The Fed and its current uncertainty are altering the course of the crypto market.

The rate cut doesn't just affect traditional markets. In the crypto ecosystem, the Fed's decisions have direct implications for risk appetite, capital allocation, and perceived value. With lower rates, fixed-income assets become less attractive, which can redirect flows toward more volatile but higher-return instruments, such as Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

However, despite the latest rate cut, Jerome Powell's cautious tone regarding inflation and employment has generated uncertainty about the duration and effectiveness of this monetary policy. The division among members of the Federal Open Market Committee suggests that future moves may lack clear consensus, and this lack of unity is adding complexity to the crypto markets, where macroeconomic certainty is crucial for guiding investment decisions.

Furthermore, the federal government shutdown prevented the release of recent economic data, limiting traders' ability to substantiate their analyses. In the absence of reliable figures, decisions are based on expectations and speculation, increasing volatility and the likelihood of sharp and unexpected market reactions.

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Beyond price: factors that support Bitcoin in times of volatility

Although Bitcoin's price has fallen significantly in recent weeks, the fundamentals supporting its adoption remain strong. Institutional demand continues to expand, regulation is showing signs of opening up in several jurisdictions, and interest in digital assets as a safe haven against uncertain monetary policies persists.

According to experts, the crypto market is in a phase of natural adjustment, not a structural decline. Fluctuations are common in assets so dependent on investor sentiment. Thus, despite recent decreases in interest rates and volatility surrounding inflation, Bitcoin continues to solidify its position as an alternative in a context of constantly changing global liquidity.

What sustains Bitcoin's momentum isn't just its market price. Its true value lies in the ongoing development of the ecosystem, advancements in regulatory frameworks, and the growing confidence of major financial players. In this scenario, interest rate cuts could fuel sustained long-term growth, even if they trigger short-term episodes of volatility and market adjustments.

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