Bitcoin in a key zone: This on-chain data rules out the scenario everyone feared

Bitcoin in a key zone: This on-chain data rules out the scenario everyone feared

Who is really selling after the Bitcoin price drop? This is the question that CryptoQuant analysts are trying to answer by analyzing current market flows and patterns.

The drop in digital asset prices has sparked a debate among institutional traders and ecosystem analysts. Bitcoin's price has corrected by around 30% since reaching its all-time high in October 2025, while the cryptocurrency market has lost nearly $570.000 billion in market capitalization over the same period. 

Every pullback in cryptocurrency prices reopens the same discussion: who is selling and why.

For analysts, identifying the source of that selling pressure helps to distinguish whether the digital market is facing a phase of deep capitulation or whether it is simply a logical correction after weeks of gains.

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Bitcoin miners stop selling their coins

Examining the behavior of network miners, the data refutes the theory that they are responsible for dragging Bitcoin's price down in the current cycle. According to analysts, the Miner Position Index (MPI), a key metric for assessing the profitability and selling intentions of this group, offers a clear historical perspective on their recent operations. 

During the price peaks between $110.000 and $120.000, the MPI repeatedly spiked to +2 and +3 levels. This behavior indicates that miners took advantage of these valuation ranges to aggressively monetize their inventories and secure operating profits when the market offered greater liquidity.

However, the situation has changed dramatically since the fourth quarter of 2025. The MPI index has undergone significant compression, hovering around zero and recently settling at levels close to -1,5. According to CryptoQuant, a negative reading of this magnitude implies that Bitcoin miners are currently selling a much lower number of coins than their annual average. In short, this containment of supply suggests that the intense liquidation phase by this sector has already concluded. 

The total net flow chart of BTC miners corroborates This trend shows that the large capital outflows that characterized the market until mid-2025 have ceased.

Miners' Position Index (MPI) and Bitcoin (BTC) price evolution in recent months.
Source: CryptoQuant

Currently, net flow records show minimal movement, with values ​​near zero confirming that network miners have already injected their planned liquidity. Therefore, their role as marginal sellers has diminished, reducing a source of constant downward pressure on the cryptocurrency's price and allowing the market to find a more stable base from which to move.

The crypto market is maintaining its balance, according to experts.

Having ruled out a mass sell-off of Bitcoin by miners, the analysis focuses on large capital holders and the supply available on exchange platforms. Exchange reserve data confirms a sustained decrease in BTC availability. 

Total Bitcoin reserves on exchanges continue to decline steadily, dropping from approximately 2,95 million to around 2,73 million BTC. This downward trend confirms that spot inventory remains limited even after the recent price correction. Experts believe that an environment with lower liquidity often acts as a support base, as it restricts the amount of Bitcoin that can be quickly placed on the market.

Regarding net flows, a clearer transition is evident, with persistent outflows that dominated for several months giving way to small, sporadic inflows. This pattern suggests that investors are either reassuming risk exposure or selectively hedging, but there are no signs of a widespread sell-off.

Meanwhile, the whale index in the stock exchanges remains near the upper end of its recent range, between 0,4 and 0,6. Although these large players are concentrating a significant portion of incoming flows, the absolute volume of deposits remains well below the peak levels seen during the previous cycle. This indicates a phase of strategic distribution based on price movements, rather than a complete liquidation of their positions.

Overall, the data analyzed do not point to a specific group under stress as responsible for the recent downward pressure on Bitcoin's price, analysts said. 

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So, who is really selling Bitcoin after the correction?

CryptoQuant analysts concluded that current market data shows that, despite the recent pullback in Bitcoin's price—which is trading around $88.000—there are no signs of forced selling or financial stress among the most influential participants. Rather, the data suggests that both miners and whales They maintain careful control over their BTC positionsThese players, who in previous months had adopted a more conservative stance, are taking advantage of the stock price increases to make strategic sales. Their goal is to secure profits or adjust their exposure without putting significant pressure on the market structure.

In summary, the overall takeaway from the report is that the Bitcoin ecosystem retains a solid foundation. The flow of coins to exchanges remains limited, suggesting a Limited offer and a absence of panicIn this context, the observed BTC sales are more a response to tactical maneuvers than to the need for liquidation, which helps to stabilize price dynamics even in this correction phase.

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