Tokenized stocks: why TD Cowen predicts low demand

Tokenized stocks: why TD Cowen predicts low demand (AI-generated image)
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The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has established a five-year framework to facilitate trading of tokenized stocks. However, analysts at TD Cowen anticipate limited demand, arguing that traditional users already have efficient access to conventional stock markets.

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The SEC's new framework for tokenized stocks

The US financial landscape has taken a step toward integrating blockchain technology with the recent decision by its main regulator. The agency has introduced an innovation exemption that creates a new five-year framework for tokenized stock tradingThis controlled environment allows qualified trading venues to operate automated market maker (AMM) funds without the need to formally register as traditional exchanges.

Under these new guidelines, certain liquidity providers can also avoid registering as intermediaries, provided they meet specific conditions. This regulatory move comes shortly after the Clarity Act failed to advance in the Senate, stalling broader legislation on the structure of the cryptocurrency market in the country. The SEC's initiative seeks to open a window for technological experimentation without compromising market integrity.

Why is limited adoption expected?

Despite the regulatory opening, experts like Reid Noch, vice president of US equity market structure at TD Cowen, maintain a cautious outlook. According to his analysis, fairly limited short-term adoption is expected among both domestic retail users and large financial institutions.

The main obstacle is that US market participants already have highly efficient access to the underlying stocks. For tokenized platforms to gain real traction, they must offer a compelling benefit that outweighs the limited liquidity and added operational complexity of managing blockchain-based infrastructure. Essentially, tokenized stocks need to solve a problem that the current US stock market simply doesn't present.

The challenge of liquidity and automated market makers

The SEC framework allows trading through automated market makers (AMMs) instead of a traditional order book. An AMM maintains reserves of assets and uses pre-established rules via smart contracts to price trades. This technical structure could allow stock tokens to trade 24 hours a day, provided the fund has sufficient assets in storage to meet demand.

However, uninterrupted availability does not necessarily guarantee an optimal trading environment. Limited liquidity can lead to unfavorable prices for those who decide to acquire these assets, a phenomenon known as slippage or slippageMarket efficiency depends heavily on the depth of liquidity, a factor that tokenized stock AMMs have yet to demonstrate they can consistently sustain in the face of massive Wall Street volumes.

Regulatory restrictions and the role of issuers

The SEC has established strict limits for this five-year experiment. The tokens must represent shares of the National Market System (NMS) and preserve intact the economic interests, dividends, voting rights, and liquidation rights associated with the underlying shares. Furthermore, third-party tokenizers must notify a company before trading its shares, giving the issuer 30 days to file formal objections. Trading volume is also subject to maximum limits to prevent systemic disruptions.

These requirements could make the US model more difficult to adopt compared to tokenized stock products already offered in other jurisdictions with different regulations. Adding to this is the lack of interest from the issuers themselves. Conversations with dozens of companies have revealed minimal interest in tokenizing their shares, except for those already operating in sectors adjacent to blockchain technology.

The case of Figure and the preference for the traditional market

To illustrate the magnitude of this challenge, the report cites the case of Figure. Its FIGR shares, listed on Nasdaq, are traded alongside FGRS shares, which are blockchain-native and carry the same economic exposure and voting rights. However, the data is revealing: over 99,9% of Figure's notional trading volume was conducted through its traditional listed shares during the 24-hour period examined by TD Cowen.

This data underscores the current strong preference for established financial infrastructures, where liquidity and operational familiarity currently outweigh technological innovation. If you would like to learn more about how these underlying technologies work and their impact on the ecosystem, you can explore the educational resources available at Bit2Me Academy, where the fundamental concepts of tokenization and crypto assets are broken down.

The regulatory contrast: United States versus Europe

While the United States is experimenting with these new frameworks through temporary exemptions, other regions are moving forward with more structural approaches. In the European Union, the MiCA Regulation provides legal clarity for crypto-asset service providers, establishing clear rules for the issuance and marketing of digital assets. This legal certainty is essential for building your portfolio in a transparent and compliant environment.

Real-world asset tokenization (RWA) remains one of the strongest technology narratives in the sector, but its application in highly efficient equity markets will require time, education, and more robust use cases to justify the technological transition. Staying abreast of these developments is critical to understanding where the global financial infrastructure is headed. You can track the evolution of these regulations and their impact on the sector through [link/platform name]. news.bit2me.com.

FAQ

What is a tokenized stock?

A tokenized stock is a digital representation of a traditional stock on a blockchain network. It retains the same economic rights, such as dividends and voting power, but uses distributed ledger technology for issuance, transfer, and storage, enabling the exploration of new forms of digital trading.

How does an automated market maker (AMM) work?

An AMM is a protocol that uses smart contracts to price assets and facilitate trading without the need for a traditional order book. It operates through liquidity pools where users can add assets, enabling automated trading based on mathematical algorithms.

Why is the adoption of tokenized stocks low in the US?

Adoption is limited primarily because US users already have very efficient and inexpensive access to traditional stock markets. Furthermore, liquidity on tokenized platforms is still low, which can result in less favorable prices when acquiring these digital assets.

What role does regulation play in tokenization?

Regulation is key to ensuring user protection and market stability. While the US is moving forward with temporary SEC exemptions, Europe is leading the way with comprehensive frameworks like the MiCA Regulation, which brings transparency and legal certainty to the entire crypto-asset ecosystem.

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The evolution of tokenized stocks will depend on their ability to offer tangible advantages over established traditional systems. Blockchain technology has the potential to modernize financial infrastructure, but mass adoption requires overcoming liquidity barriers and demonstrating greater efficiency than currently available.

As regulation progresses and establishes clear limits to protect market integrity, time will tell whether this technology manages to consolidate itself as a viable alternative for stock trading or whether, on the contrary, it finds its true value in the tokenization of less liquid alternative assets.

Investing in cryptoassets is not fully regulated, may not be suitable for retail investors due to high volatility and there is a risk of losing all invested amounts.

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