Is it realistic for XRP to reach $10 by 2025, or is the projection just market noise? Here's what the experts say.
After years of regulatory controversy and institutional skepticism, XRP has begun to show signs of consolidation and growth that have captured the attention of analysts, investors, and specialized media.
In September, the price of XRP surpassed $2,90, rekindling the debate about its true potential. Could it reach $10 or even more before the end of the year? The answer appears to depend on one major catalyst: the potential approval of cash ETFs.
From $3 to $10: What's Driving XRP's New Target Range?
Cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez noted on his X account that XRP has broken a technical structure known as “downward channel”, which historically indicates a change in trend.
According to Martinez, this move could bring the price of Ripple's cryptocurrency to $3 in the short term. Although this projection While it seems conservative, what's interesting is that it aligns with a broader sentiment that has been brewing in the crypto community: the idea that XRP is undervalued and that its breakout moment could be near.
That sentiment has been bolstered by growing confidence in the approval of XRP spot ETFs. On social media, mentions of the XRP spot ETF have reached record levels, with estimates putting the 98% probability of approvalThis figure is not the result of popular enthusiasm, but rather the analysis of experts who have closely followed the SEC filings.
Bloomberg, for example, recently published a list of crypto ETF applications for 2025, and XRP appears with more than a dozen proposals on the table. Seven of them are spot, meaning they would involve actual purchases of the asset to back the funds, rather than derivative contracts.
The potential impact of these products, if they receive SEC approval, has been a topic of conversation among key figures in the financial world. Steven McClurg, CEO of Canary Capital, claimed that XRP spot ETFs could attract as much as $5.000 billion in inflows in their first month alone. This estimate is not arbitrary: it is based on the performance of the Teucrium leveraged fund, which in just three months became the firm's most successful product in its 16-year history. Furthermore, it was the first XRP ETF in the United States to surpass $300 million in inflows, demonstrating that there is real and active demand for regulated exposure to this digital asset.
The narrative is further strengthened when looking at the behavior of XRP futures contracts on the CME. Within a matter of weeks, XRP became the fastest asset in alcanzar the $1.000 billion in open interest, even surpassing giants like Bitcoin and Ethereum in this market. This figure not only reflects speculative appetite, but also the growing institutional participation in the XRP market. For many analysts, this interest is a leading indicator of what could happen if spot ETFs get the green light.
Experts increasingly optimistic: XRP, the most underrated asset on the market
One of the most revealing comments regarding XRP's potential comes from Nate Geraci, president of ETF Store and a respected voice in the financial world.
Geraci noted that XRP is currently the third largest cryptoasset by market capitalization, with approximately $180.000 billion, surpassing even BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager. The curious thing, according to him, is that XRP remains one of the most "hated" or underrated assets in the crypto ecosystem. This paradox has generated a debate about whether the historical rejection of XRP has been more emotional than rational, and whether we are facing an asset that could redefine its reputation in a matter of months.
To explore this scenario, experts asked Artificial Intelligence to model a bullish outcome for XRP if all spot ETFs are approved by the US SEC in October. The answer was clear: such an event could become a turning point.
According to the AI, ETF issuers would need to purchase large amounts of XRP to back their funds, which would generate significant buying pressure on the cryptocurrency. Furthermore, media coverage and enthusiasm could trigger a FOMO effect among retail investors, amplifying XRP's bullish momentum.
Under these conditions, the AI estimates that the price of XRP could be between $10 and $16 by December 2025. However, it should not be forgotten that this is a speculative scenario, and that external factors such as global regulation, macroeconomic conditions, and crypto market trends could impact the cryptocurrency's price.
2025 could be the year of XRP
While the possibility of XRP reaching new all-time highs this year is generating excitement among investors, there are no guarantees that this will happen. Still, what is clear is that XRP is in a unique position.
On the one hand, the cryptocurrency has the technical support of analysts who see clear signs of recovery. On the other, it has demonstrated institutional interest in futures and leveraged ETFs. And finally, it is surrounded by a narrative that, while previously negative, is now transforming into a story of redemption and potential. If spot ETFs are approved, XRP could not only reach $10, but also consolidate itself as a legitimate asset within the global financial system.
