Bitcoin Halving Countdown: Here's What You Need to Know If You're an Investor

It's been 10 years since the first Bitcoin halving

The clock is ticking for the next Bitcoin halving, an event that occurs roughly every four years and keeps users constantly on edge. Scheduled for April 2028, this mechanism will reduce the reward for mining a block from 3.125 to 1.5625 bitcoins, bringing the cryptocurrency even closer to its limit of 21 million units. Understanding the halving is key to anticipating its effects on the market. Here we tell you the essentials.

What is halving and why does it matter?

The halving is a rule written into Bitcoin's code by Satoshi Nakamoto. Every 210,000 blocks mined—roughly every four years—the reward miners receive for validating transactions is cut in half. This slows the issuance of new bitcoins, reinforcing its design as a deflationary asset. By March 2025, with over 19.6 million BTC already in circulation, The halving is a reminder that supply is finite, a contrast to currencies like the dollar, which are printed without limit.

For users, the halving matters because it has historically been a catalyst for price increases. Following the 2020 halving, Bitcoin went from $10,000 to over $60,000 in a year. The logic is simple: fewer new bitcoins entering the market, combined with stable or growing demand, tends to push the value up. However, the past does not guarantee the future, and there are nuances to consider.

Impact on the market

The upcoming halving will reduce Bitcoin's annual inflation to less than 0.8%, making it even more scarce. This could attract institutional investors who see BTC as "digital gold," especially following the approval of Bitcoin ETFs in 2024. However, the effect is not immediatePrices are often anticipated months before the event, as seen in previous halvings, when speculation drives demand. In 2025, with the crypto market more mature, some analysts predict a less explosive, but still significant, rally.

On the other hand, miners will face pressure. With lower rewards, those with high operating costs might leave the network if transaction fees don't compensate. This could affect Bitcoin's security in the long run, although the network has weathered previous halvings without problems.

What to do as a user

If you own Bitcoin, the halving could be an opportunity to hold (hodl) and hope for a rise in value, but volatility is a risk. Diversifying, selling part before the peak or using derivatives to hedge are common strategies. If you're entering now, consider the timing: buying before the halving may position you well, but prices could already reflect high expectations.

Keep an eye on the context, too. Factors like regulations, global adoption and global economic health will play as much of a role as the halving. For example, political uncertainty or a recession could dampen enthusiasm.

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The clock is ticking

With three years to go until the next halving, the countdown is already shaping the market. For investors, it is a time for preparation and analysis. Bitcoin has shown that its programmed scarcity can generate wealth, but it also requires patience and strategy. As the supply approaches its ceiling, the halving is not just a technical event: it is a test of the future of Bitcoin as a global asset.