Bernstein and other financial firms project that Bitcoin could reach $200.000 by the end of 2025, supported by institutional demand and favorable regulatory frameworks.
The analysis firm Bernstein has reaffirmed its projection that Bitcoin could reach USD 200.000 by the end of 2025.
This estimate, considered “conservative"according to its own analysts, it is based on the sustained growth of institutional demand, the strengthening of the regulatory framework in the United States and the consolidation of Bitcoin as a legitimate financial asset.
This view is supported by other entities such as Standard Chartered and Bitwise, as well as technical models that reinforce the hypothesis of a prolonged bullish cycle for the cryptocurrency and the market in general.
BUY BITCOIN EASILY AND FASTInstitutionalization and consolidation: the axis of the new cycle
Bernstein argues that Bitcoin has entered a “new institutional era,” marked by the active participation of large asset managers, banks, and corporations. According to his report “Bitcoin Blackbook”, published in October last year, more than USD 60.000 billion had already been invested in regulated ETFs, a significant growth compared to the USD 12.000 billion recorded in September 2022. According to the reportThis transformation of the investor profile has shifted the focus from retail investors to institutional players, which is reducing volatility and increasing the stability of the digital asset.
The firm also highlighted that the consolidation of the mining sector and the entry of companies like Core Scientific into the artificial intelligence hosting business were strengthening Bitcoin's infrastructure. Furthermore, it anticipated that Wall Street could become the largest holder of Bitcoin by the end of 2025, even surpassing Satoshi Nakamoto, the cryptocurrency's creator.
Standard Chartered and Bitwise aim for the same goal
Standard Chartered has raised its Bitcoin price forecast, projecting a price of $135.000 by the third quarter of 2025 and $200.000 by the end of the year. The British institution attributes this growth to the steady flow of capital into ETFs and corporate bonds, as well as the growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset by financial institutions and businesses.
Bitwise, for its part, has published a series of predictions for 2025 that include a price above $200.000, supported by the expansion of ETFs, sovereign adoption, and interest from institutional funds. Its model even contemplates scenarios in which Bitcoin could surpass $500.000 if the United States moves forward with the creation of a Bitcoin strategic reserve.
Both firms agree with Bernstein analysts that institutional demand is far outweighing retail speculation, which could prevent abrupt corrections like those seen in previous Bitcoin price cycles.
BUY BITCOIN WITH BIT2MERegulation and Political Environment: The legal framework drives Bitcoin's legitimacy
The regulatory environment in the United States has evolved significantly and is approaching the potential final passage of laws such as the GENIUS Act and the CLARITY Act, which establish clear rules for the issuance of stablecoins and the classification of digital assets. These regulations are designed to protect consumers, encourage innovation, and attract institutional capital. These regulatory projects are currently being debated during Congressional Crypto Week, which began on Monday, July 14.
The GENIUS Act, as reported by this outlet, requires stablecoin issuers to maintain 1:1 reserves of liquid assets and adhere to strict transparency and tax compliance standards. The CLARITY Act, meanwhile, defines which digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or stablecoins, assigning clear regulatory powers between the SEC and the CFTC.
If both laws are approved in their final terms, it would open a new chapter in US financial regulation, providing an anticipated framework that would be very welcome by the industry. This change would provide much-needed certainty for institutions and users to operate with Bitcoin, stablecoins, and other digital assets safely and transparently. Furthermore, the possibility of the creation of a Bitcoin National Strategic Reserve This would reinforce the legitimacy of this cryptocurrency as a sovereign asset, which could also set a significant precedent at the global level.
Ultimately, these legislative proposals reflect a clear effort to integrate digital financial innovations into a modern and coherent regulatory framework that fosters innovation without sacrificing the protection and stability of the financial system.
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Will it reach USD 200.000?
In summary, projections from Bernstein, Standard Chartered, and Bitwise, along with technical models and a favorable regulatory environment, paint a picture of Bitcoin reaching $200.000 by the end of 2025.
Although volatility remains part of the crypto market's DNA, this time it seems we're facing something different. The combination of solid structural factors, the increasing entry of financial institutions, and a clearer legal environment is creating the conditions for this bullish cycle to be more than just a passing flash in the pan, but a deeper and more sustained movement over time.
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